Arizonaat
St. Louis
Odds Board — Best Price Highlighted
| Book | Arizona ML | St. Louis ML | Spread (St. Louis) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +320 | -460 | -2.5 (-108) | 8.5 |
| DraftKings | +291 | -401 | -2.5 (+101) | 8.5 |
| BetMGM | +290 | -400 | -2.5 (+105) | 8.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The Rundown
Arizona heads to Busch Stadium to face St. Louis on July 23, with the Cardinals installed as heavy -420 moneyline favorites — that'll cost you $4.20 to win a dollar on St. Louis. The run line sits at -2.5 for the home side, and that number has moved a full run in St. Louis's favor since open, shifting from -1.5 to -2.5, which is meaningful line movement worth noting. Arizona is getting +300 on the money line as modest 53-49 visitors against a Cardinals team sitting nearly identical at 52-49, so the records alone don't justify this spread. The total is posted at 8.5, suggesting oddsmakers anticipate a moderately active offensive game at Busch Stadium. The sharp money moving St. Louis from -1.5 to -2.5 is the loudest signal here — the market clearly trusts the Cardinals at home and isn't done yet.
Where the Money Is
Spread has moved 1 toward St. Louis Cardinals since open (-1.5 → -2.5)
Derived from our hourly line history. Book-reported betting percentages coming soon.
The Simulation — 10,000 Runs
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Arizona by 2 and St. Louis by 7 — this one's live to swing either way.
Predictions & Best Bets — The Picks Desk
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | St. Louis -420 Consensus prices St. Louis at 76% to win. I count the votes; the votes say St. Louis. | Arizona +2.5 Books charge more juice on Arizona's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Over 8.5 The over is the expensive side at 8.5 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | St. Louis -400 Best board has St. Louis -400 vs a -420 consensus — 20 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | St. Louis -2.5 (+105) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — St. Louis at +105 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Under 8.5 (+100) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the under at +100 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | St. Louis -420 St. Louis's price has shortened 294 cents since open. Steam is steam. | St. Louis -2.5 Spread has walked 1 toward St. Louis since open. Lines move because money moves them — I follow. | Under 8.5 The over is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the under. |
Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →