| Book | Boston ML | Los Angeles ML | Spread (Los Angeles) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +116 | -126 | -1.5 (+168) | 8.5 |
| DraftKings | +113 | -136 | -1.5 (+159) | 8.5 |
| BetMGM | +110 | -135 | -1.5 (+165) | 8.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Los Angeles the favorite at home against Boston at -132 — Los Angeles carry the -1.5 runline. The consensus total sits at 8.5. Moneyline pricing implies a 55% win probability for Los Angeles once the juice is stripped out. First pitch is at Dodger Stadium on ESPN Unlmtd.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Boston by 4 and Los Angeles by 5 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | Los Angeles -132 Consensus prices Los Angeles at 55% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Los Angeles. | Boston +1.5 Books charge more juice on Boston's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Under 8.5 The under is the expensive side at 8.5 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | Los Angeles -126 Best board has Los Angeles -126 vs a -132 consensus — 6 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | Los Angeles -1.5 (+168) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Los Angeles at +168 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 8.5 (-103) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -103 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Los Angeles -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Los Angeles. | Over 8.5 The under is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the over. |
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