| Book | Detroit ML | Athletics ML | Spread (Athletics) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -132 | +122 | 1.5 (-134) | 11.0 |
| DraftKings | -143 | +119 | 1.5 (-126) | 11.0 |
| BetMGM | -145 | +118 | 1.5 (-125) | 11.0 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Detroit the favorite on the road against Athletics at -140 — Detroit carry the -1.5 runline. The consensus total sits at 11. Moneyline pricing implies a 56% win probability for Detroit once the juice is stripped out. First pitch is at Sutter Health Park on MLB.TV.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Detroit by 7 and Athletics by 5 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | Detroit -140 Consensus prices Detroit at 56% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Detroit. | Athletics +1.5 Books charge more juice on Athletics's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Under 11 The under is the expensive side at 11 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | Detroit -132 Best board has Detroit -132 vs a -140 consensus — 8 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | Detroit -1.5 (+112) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Detroit at +112 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 11 (+100) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at +100 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Detroit -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Detroit. | Over 11 The under is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the over. |
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