| Book | Los Angeles ML | Baltimore ML | Spread (Baltimore) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +138 | -148 | -1.5 (+136) | 9.0 |
| DraftKings | +129 | -156 | -1.5 (+135) | 9.0 |
| BetMGM | +125 | -155 | -1.5 (+135) | 9.0 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Baltimore the favorite at home against Los Angeles at -153 — Baltimore carry the -1.5 runline. The consensus total sits at 9. Moneyline pricing implies a 58% win probability for Baltimore once the juice is stripped out. First pitch is at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on MLB.TV.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Los Angeles by 4 and Baltimore by 6 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | Baltimore -153 Consensus prices Baltimore at 58% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Baltimore. | Los Angeles +1.5 Books charge more juice on Los Angeles's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Over 9 The over is the expensive side at 9 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | Los Angeles +138 Best board has Los Angeles +138 vs a +131 consensus — 7 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | Baltimore -1.5 (+136) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Baltimore at +136 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Under 9 (-102) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the under at -102 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Baltimore -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Baltimore. | Under 9 The over is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the under. |
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