Los Angelesat
Philadelphia
Odds Board — Best Price Highlighted
| Book | Los Angeles ML | Philadelphia ML | Spread (Philadelphia) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -112 | -104 | 1.5 (-170) | 9.5 |
| DraftKings | -118 | -102 | 1.5 (-171) | 10.0 |
| BetMGM | -120 | +100 | 1.5 (-165) | 10.0 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The Rundown
The market makes Los Angeles a 1.5-point favorite on the road against Philadelphia, with the consensus total sitting at 9.8. Moneyline pricing implies roughly a 54% win probability for Los Angeles. Kickoff is at Citizens Bank Park on MLB.TV.
Where the Money Is
Lines have held steady since open — the market agrees with itself on this one.
Derived from our hourly line history. Book-reported betting percentages coming soon.
The Simulation — 10,000 Runs
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Los Angeles by 7 and Philadelphia by 4 — this one's live to swing either way.
Predictions & Best Bets — The Picks Desk
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | Los Angeles -117 Consensus prices Los Angeles at 68% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Los Angeles. | Philadelphia +1.5 Books charge more juice on Philadelphia's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Over 9.8 The over is the expensive side at 9.8 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | Philadelphia +100 Best board has Philadelphia +100 vs a -35 consensus — 135 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | Los Angeles -1.5 (+141) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Los Angeles at +141 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Under 10 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the under at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | Los Angeles -117 Los Angeles's price has shortened 72 cents since open. Steam is steam. | Los Angeles -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Los Angeles. | Under 9.8 The over is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the under. |
Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →