| Book | Minnesota ML | Seattle ML | Spread (Seattle) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +154 | -184 | -1.5 (+126) | 7.5 |
| BetMGM | +154 | -190 | — (—) | 8.0 |
| DraftKings | +153 | -186 | -1.5 (+119) | 8.0 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Seattle the favorite at home against Minnesota at -187 — Seattle carry the -1.5 runline. The consensus total sits at 8. Moneyline pricing implies a 62% win probability for Seattle once the juice is stripped out.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Minnesota by 3 and Seattle by 5 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | Seattle -187 Consensus prices Seattle at 62% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Seattle. | Minnesota +1.5 Books charge more juice on Minnesota's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Over 8 The over is the expensive side at 8 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | Seattle -184 Best board has Seattle -184 vs a -187 consensus — 3 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | Seattle -1.5 (+126) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Seattle at +126 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 7.5 (-124) Over 7.5 is available against a 8 consensus — I shop the number, not the narrative. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Seattle -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Seattle. | Under 8 The over is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the under. |
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