| Book | New York ML | Chicago ML | Spread (Chicago) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +116 | -136 | -1.5 (+162) | 9.0 |
| DraftKings | +118 | -142 | -1.5 (+144) | 9.0 |
| BetMGM | +118 | -145 | — (—) | — |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The Yankees travel to Chicago as road favorites against the Cubs, with New York priced at +117 on the moneyline while Chicago sits at -141 at home. The run line has the Cubs laying 1.5, a modest number that reflects a competitive matchup rather than a lopsided affair. The total is posted at 9, sitting on the higher end for a baseball game and suggesting oddsmakers expect both offenses to contribute. With no line movement on record, sharp action hasn't pushed this number in either direction — the market opened here and has stayed put, indicating relatively balanced two-way action. No injury or roster data is available to shade either side further. The flat movement on a 9-run total with the home team as a modest favorite tells you the books are comfortable right where they are and aren't being pressured by informed money on either side.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between New York by 4 and Chicago by 5 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | Chicago -141 Consensus prices Chicago at 56% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Chicago. | New York +1.5 Books charge more juice on New York's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Over 9 The over is the expensive side at 9 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | Chicago -136 Best board has Chicago -136 vs a -141 consensus — 5 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | Chicago -1.5 (+162) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Chicago at +162 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Under 9 (-106) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the under at -106 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Chicago -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Chicago. | Under 9 The over is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the under. |
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