| Book | Pittsburgh ML | Cincinnati ML | Spread (Cincinnati) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -112 | -104 | 1.5 (-164) | 9.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Pittsburgh the favorite on the road against Cincinnati — Pittsburgh carry the -1.5 runline. The consensus total sits at 9.5.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Pittsburgh by 7 and Cincinnati by 4 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Cincinnati +1.5 Books charge more juice on Cincinnati's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Over 9.5 The over is the expensive side at 9.5 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Pittsburgh -1.5 (+136) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Pittsburgh at +136 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Under 9.5 (-106) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the under at -106 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Pittsburgh -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Pittsburgh. | Under 9.5 The over is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the under. |
Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →