| Book | St. Louis ML | New York ML | Spread (New York) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +176 | -190 | -1.5 (+110) | 8.0 |
| BetMGM | +165 | -200 | -1.5 (+105) | 8.0 |
| DraftKings | +168 | -205 | -1.5 (+103) | 8.0 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes New York the favorite at home against St. Louis at -198 — New York carry the -1.5 runline. The consensus total sits at 8. Moneyline pricing implies a 64% win probability for New York once the juice is stripped out.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between St. Louis by 3 and New York by 6 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | New York -198 Consensus prices New York at 64% to win. I count the votes; the votes say New York. | St. Louis +1.5 Books charge more juice on St. Louis's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Under 8 The under is the expensive side at 8 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | New York -190 Best board has New York -190 vs a -198 consensus — 8 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | New York -1.5 (+110) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — New York at +110 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 8 (-105) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -105 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | New York -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: New York. | Over 8 The under is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the over. |
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