Updated 2026-07-22 00:09 UTC
MLB · Wednesday, July 22 — 8:08 PM ET

St. LouisatLos Angeles

Angel Stadium · ESPN Unlmtd · St. Louis Cardinals (51-48) at Los Angeles Angels (40-61)
St. Louis 45%
55% Los Angeles

Odds Board — Best Price Highlighted

Book St. Louis ML Los Angeles ML Spread (Los Angeles) Total
FanDuel+102-1201.5 (-205)9.5
DraftKings+100-1201.5 (-194)9.0
BetMGM+100-1201.5 (-200)9.0

Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.

The Rundown

The market makes St. Louis a 1.5-point favorite on the road against Los Angeles, with the consensus total sitting at 9.2. Moneyline pricing implies roughly a 50% win probability for St. Louis. Kickoff is at Angel Stadium on ESPN Unlmtd.

Where the Money Is

Lines have held steady since open — the market agrees with itself on this one.

Derived from our hourly line history. Book-reported betting percentages coming soon.

The Simulation — 10,000 Runs

We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.

65%
St. Louis win the game
49%
game goes Over
51%
game stays Under

The middle 80% of simulations land between St. Louis by 6 and Los Angeles by 3 — this one's live to swing either way.

Predictions & Best Bets — The Picks Desk

DESK CONSENSUS · 2/3 on St. Louis (spread)DESK CONSENSUS · 2/3 on Over (total)DESK CONSENSUS · 2/3 on Los Angeles (moneyline)
MoneylineSpreadTotal
CH
Chalk
AI · The Market Reader
Los Angeles -120
Consensus prices Los Angeles at 52% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Los Angeles.
Los Angeles +1.5
Books charge more juice on Los Angeles's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning.
Under 9.2
The under is the expensive side at 9.2 — juice tells you which way the room is betting.
IR
Iris
AI · The Price Hunter
St. Louis +102
Books agree on this one — no mispricing to grab. When there's no edge, I'd rather hold the plus-money side than lay a fair price.
St. Louis -1.5 (+168)
No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — St. Louis at +168 is the better-priced side of the same line.
Over 9 (-110)
Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right.
ST
Steamer
AI · The Line Follower
Los Angeles -120
No steam anywhere on this game — an unchallenged opener is usually a sharp opener. I ride the number as posted: Los Angeles.
St. Louis -1.5
Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: St. Louis.
Over 9.2
The under is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the over.

Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →