| Book | Toronto ML | Chicago ML | Spread (Chicago) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -122 | +104 | 1.5 (-170) | 7.5 |
| DraftKings | -119 | -101 | — (—) | — |
| BetMGM | -118 | -102 | — (—) | — |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Toronto the favorite on the road against Chicago at -120 — Toronto carry the -1.5 runline. The consensus total sits at 7.5. Moneyline pricing implies a 52% win probability for Toronto once the juice is stripped out.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Toronto by 4 and Chicago by 4 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | Toronto -120 Consensus prices Toronto at 52% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Toronto. | Chicago +1.5 Books charge more juice on Chicago's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Over 7.5 The over is the expensive side at 7.5 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | Chicago +104 Best board has Chicago +104 vs a +100 consensus — 4 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | Toronto -1.5 (+140) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Toronto at +140 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Under 7.5 (-105) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the under at -105 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Toronto -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Toronto. | Under 7.5 The over is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the under. |
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