| Book | Washington ML | Philadelphia ML | Spread (Philadelphia) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +136 | -146 | -1.5 (+136) | 9.5 |
| DraftKings | +129 | -156 | -1.5 (+135) | 9.5 |
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 | -1.5 (+135) | 9.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Philadelphia the favorite at home against Washington at -151 — Philadelphia carry the -1.5 runline. The consensus total sits at 9.5. Moneyline pricing implies a 58% win probability for Philadelphia once the juice is stripped out.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Washington by 4 and Philadelphia by 6 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. Lean: moneyline. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | Philadelphia -151 Consensus prices Philadelphia at 58% to win. I count the votes; the votes say Philadelphia. | Washington +1.5 Books charge more juice on Washington's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | Under 9.5 The under is the expensive side at 9.5 — juice tells you which way the room is betting. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | Washington +136 Best board has Washington +136 vs a +130 consensus — 6 cents of free value. I take the mispricing. | Philadelphia -1.5 (+136) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Philadelphia at +136 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 9.5 (+102) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at +102 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Philadelphia -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Philadelphia. | Over 9.5 The under is taking the money and the total hasn't budged — a number that won't move is a number the book likes. I take the over. |
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