| Book | Arizona ML | Seattle ML | Spread (Seattle) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +525 | -750 | -13.5 (-110) | 45.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
Seattle opened as a substantial home favorite and sits at -13.5 against Arizona, with the total set at 45.5. No line movement has been recorded, suggesting sharp money hasn't pushed hard in either direction — the market is largely settled where it opened. A 13.5-point spread is a significant number in the NFL, placing Seattle firmly in the range where backdoor covers become a real concern for favorite backers. The total of 45.5 splits the difference between a functional offense and a defense that can keep the score from ballooning, implying books expect a moderately paced game rather than a shootout or a defensive grind. Without records or moneyline data available, the spread itself does the talking — nearly two touchdowns of implied separation between these two NFC West opponents. The market is saying Seattle is a dominant favorite here, and nobody has seen enough reason to argue otherwise.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Arizona by 4 and Seattle by 30 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Seattle -13.5 (-110) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Seattle at -110 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 45.5 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →