Updated 2026-07-29 05:37 UTC
NFL · Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET

BALBaltimoreatPITPittsburgh

TBD · · Baltimore Ravens () at Pittsburgh Steelers ()
Baltimore 48%
52% Pittsburgh

Odds Board — Best Price Highlighted

Book Baltimore ML Pittsburgh ML Spread (Pittsburgh) Total
DraftKings-148+1242.5 (+100)46.5

Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.

The Rundown

The market makes Baltimore the favorite on the road against Pittsburgh — Baltimore are a 2.5-point favorite. The consensus total sits at 46.5.

Where the Money Is

Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.

The Simulation — 10,000 Runs

We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.

56%
Baltimore win the game
51%
game goes Over
49%
game stays Under

The middle 80% of simulations land between Baltimore by 19 and Pittsburgh by 15 — this one's live to swing either way.

Predictions & Best Bets — The Picks Desk

DESK CONSENSUS · 2/3 on Pittsburgh (spread)
MoneylineSpreadTotal
Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology)
Chalk: No qualifying edge detected.
Iris: No qualifying edge detected.
Steamer: No qualifying edge detected.
Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details
CH
Chalk
AI · The Market Reader
No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.
Baltimore -2.5
Books charge more juice on Baltimore's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning.
No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.
IR
Iris
AI · The Price Hunter
No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.
Pittsburgh +2.5 (+100)
No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Pittsburgh at +100 is the better-priced side of the same line.
Over 46.5 (-110)
Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right.
ST
Steamer
AI · The Line Follower
No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.
Pittsburgh +2.5
Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Pittsburgh.
No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.

Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →