| Book | Carolina ML | Tampa Bay ML | Spread (Tampa Bay) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +160 | -192 | -3.5 (-110) | 44.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Tampa Bay the favorite at home against Carolina — Tampa Bay are a 3.5-point favorite. The consensus total sits at 44.5.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Carolina by 14 and Tampa Bay by 21 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Tampa Bay -3.5 (-110) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Tampa Bay at -110 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 44.5 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →