| Book | Detroit ML | Miami ML | Spread (Miami) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -265 | +215 | 6.5 (-110) | 47.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
Detroit heads to Miami as a 6.5-point road underdog, with the total sitting at 47.5. No line movement has been recorded, suggesting the market opened here and sharp money hasn't pushed it in either direction — a sign of reasonable consensus around the number. The spread is notable in size; laying more than a field goal with a home team implies a meaningful talent or situational gap that oddsmakers see clearly. At 47.5, the total lands in moderate territory, neither projecting a shootout nor a defensive slog, which tracks for two offenses that can move the ball but haven't been priced as elite scoring units. Without money-line data available, the spread tells the cleaner story here. No records are in hand to lean on contextually, so the number itself is doing the heavy lifting. The market is comfortable where it sits — no movement means the books got this one right from the jump.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Detroit by 24 and Miami by 11 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Miami +6.5 (-110) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Miami at -110 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 47.5 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
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