| Book | Indianapolis ML | Houston ML | Spread (Houston) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +195 | -238 | -5.5 (-110) | 45.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Houston the favorite at home against Indianapolis — Houston are a 5.5-point favorite. The consensus total sits at 45.5.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Indianapolis by 12 and Houston by 23 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Houston -5.5 (-110) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Houston at -110 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 45.5 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →