| Book | Jacksonville ML | Tennessee ML | Spread (Tennessee) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -135 | +114 | 2.5 (-110) | 45.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
Jacksonville travels to Tennessee as a 2.5-point road underdog, with the total sitting at 45.5. No line movement has been recorded, suggesting sharp money hasn't pushed hard in either direction yet — the market opened here and has largely stayed put. Without moneyline prices available, the spread is doing most of the talking, and a 2.5-point number keeps this firmly in pick'em territory, where a field goal swing decides cover. The 45.5 total lands in a modest range that implies neither offense is expected to go off, which tracks for a divisional AFC South matchup where both clubs know each other well. Records aren't factoring into the current pricing, meaning oddsmakers are leaning on other underlying metrics to set this number. The market is essentially calling this a toss-up, with home-field advantage accounting for nearly the entire spread.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Jacksonville by 20 and Tennessee by 14 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Tennessee +2.5 (-110) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Tennessee at -110 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 45.5 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
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