| Book | Los Angeles ML | Las Vegas ML | Spread (Las Vegas) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -345 | +275 | 7.5 (-110) | 46.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The Rams head to Las Vegas as 7.5-point road favorites, a notable number that asks the market to lay nearly a touchdown with a visiting team. The total sits at 46.5, suggesting oddsmakers expect a moderately paced game without much defensive futility on either side. With no line movement on record, sharp and public money appear to be in reasonable agreement — there's been no meaningful push to shift either the spread or the total since the number opened. No records are available to lean on for context, so the line itself becomes the primary signal. A road team installed at -7.5 is a statement of how differently the books view these rosters right now. The market is telling you the Raiders are a significant underdog at home, and nobody has disagreed loudly enough to move the number.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between Los Angeles by 25 and Las Vegas by 10 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Las Vegas +7.5 (-110) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Las Vegas at -110 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 46.5 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
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