| Book | New England ML | Miami ML | Spread (Miami) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -325 | +260 | 7.0 (-110) | 45.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
Miami opens as a 7-point favorite hosting New England in a Sunday night AFC East divisional matchup, with the total sitting at 45.5. No line movement has been recorded, suggesting sharp money hasn't pushed hard in either direction yet — the market is essentially at its opening number. The 7-point cushion is a significant divisional spread; teams rarely lay that kind of number against conference opponents, which makes it worth monitoring as kickoff approaches. A total of 45.5 lands in moderate territory, neither projecting a shootout nor a defensive grind. With records unavailable and no moneyline data posted, the book is keeping information tight this far out. The flat movement on both the spread and total tells you the market is comfortable where it opened and isn't anticipating a significant reshaping of this number before Sunday night.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between New England by 25 and Miami by 11 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Miami +7 (-110) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Miami at -110 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 45.5 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
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