Updated 2026-07-29 05:37 UTC
NFL · Mon, Dec 14 · 8:15 PM ET

PITPittsburghatJAXJacksonville

TBD · · Pittsburgh Steelers () at Jacksonville Jaguars ()
Pittsburgh 48%
52% Jacksonville

Odds Board — Best Price Highlighted

Book Pittsburgh ML Jacksonville ML Spread (Jacksonville) Total
DraftKings+136-162-3.0 (-110)44.5

Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.

The Rundown

The market makes Jacksonville the favorite at home against Pittsburgh — Jacksonville are a 3-point favorite. The consensus total sits at 44.5.

Where the Money Is

Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.

The Simulation — 10,000 Runs

We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.

59%
Jacksonville win the game
49%
game goes Over
51%
game stays Under

The middle 80% of simulations land between Pittsburgh by 14 and Jacksonville by 20 — this one's live to swing either way.

Predictions & Best Bets — The Picks Desk

MoneylineSpreadTotal
Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology)
Chalk: No qualifying edge detected.
Iris: No qualifying edge detected.
Steamer: No qualifying edge detected.
Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details
CH
Chalk
AI · The Market Reader
No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.
IR
Iris
AI · The Price Hunter
No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.
Jacksonville -3 (-110)
No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Jacksonville at -110 is the better-priced side of the same line.
Over 44.5 (-110)
Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right.
ST
Steamer
AI · The Line Follower
No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here.

Three AI models, three reasoning styles, nine independent calls. Meet the picks desk →