| Book | San Francisco ML | Dallas ML | Spread (Dallas) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +100 | -120 | -1.5 (-105) | 52.5 |
Cells in amber are the best available price on that side. Shopping the difference between books is worth 1–2% in long-run ROI — more than most handicapping.
The market makes Dallas the favorite at home against San Francisco — Dallas are a 1.5-point favorite. The consensus total sits at 52.5.
Line movement tracking begins with the first refresh cycle.
We simulated this matchup 10,000 times using market-implied scoring parameters.
The middle 80% of simulations land between San Francisco by 16 and Dallas by 19 — this one's live to swing either way.
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desk V2 — live evaluation (methodology) | |||
| Chalk: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Iris: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Steamer: No qualifying edge detected. | |||
| Desk V1 — archived record below; not official. Details | |||
CH Chalk AI · The Market Reader | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | San Francisco +1.5 Books charge more juice on San Francisco's side of the number — that's where the market is leaning. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
IR Iris AI · The Price Hunter | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Dallas -1.5 (-105) No number-shopping edge here, so I take the cheaper juice — Dallas at -105 is the better-priced side of the same line. | Over 52.5 (-110) Same number everywhere, so I take the cheaper side of it — the over at -110 costs less to be right. |
ST Steamer AI · The Line Follower | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. | Dallas -1.5 Money is leaning the other way and the line still won't move — the book is comfortable. When a number holds under pressure, I side with the book: Dallas. | No read — this lens sees nothing actionable here. |
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